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Strategic Reflection Circle “Abidjan”
Still-marginal developments that could reshape West Africa’s strategic environment tomorrow, identified with the STEEP-M foresight scanning grid.
| Signal | Domain | Horizon | Plausibility | Potential impact | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 to 5 years | 3/5 | 4/5 | Emerging | |
| Economy | 2 to 5 years | 3/5 | 4/5 | Emerging | |
| Military | 0 to 2 years | 2/5 | 3/5 | Emerging | |
| Society | 0 to 2 years | 4/5 | 3/5 | Strengthening | |
| Economy | 2 to 5 years | 4/5 | 4/5 | Strengthening | |
| Economy | 0 to 2 years | 5/5 | 5/5 | Confirmed | |
| Military | 0 to 2 years | 5/5 | 5/5 | Confirmed | |
| Technology | 0 to 2 years | 4/5 | 3/5 | Strengthening | |
| Military | 0 to 2 years | 5/5 | 4/5 | Strengthening |
Initial entries compiled from public sources, verified on 14 September 2026. Facts are linked to their source; plausibility, impact, horizon and status are an indicative assessment, to be validated by the Circle.