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Strategic notes, geopolitical analyses and panel reports: the intellectual output of the Institute and the Circle.
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Strategic Reflection Circle “Abidjan”
Eighteen countries, from the central Sahel to the Gulf of Guinea, read through public governance, economic and security indicators and informed by the Circle’s analysis.
The Circle’s composite index, from 0 to 100: the higher the score, the more exposed the state is to destabilisation risks. It combines institutional fragility, political instability, armed violence, neighbourhood exposure and economic fragility, using a published methodology.
| Country | Area | Strategic Vulnerability Index (SVI) | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Sahel | 72.9 | 2024 | |
| Central Sahel | 72.1 | 2024 | |
| Central Sahel | 74.8 | 2024 | |
| Central Sahel | 72.5 | 2024 | |
| Central Sahel | 49.7 | 2024 | |
| Gulf of Guinea | 43.7 | 2024 | |
| Gulf of Guinea | 42.3 | 2024 | |
| Gulf of Guinea | 57.9 | 2024 | |
| Gulf of Guinea | 56.8 | 2024 | |
| Gulf of Guinea | 81.0 | 2024 | |
| Gulf of Guinea | 70.8 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 35.9 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 38.8 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 46.7 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 48.5 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 46.2 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 43.8 | 2024 | |
| Atlantic coast | 23.3 | 2024 |
Sources: World Bank (Worldwide Governance Indicators, World Development Indicators, SIPRI, UCDP). Public data, updated automatically every week (last update: 14 September 2026). The strategic reading and the Vulnerability Index are computed by the Circle from these data. Natural Earth base map: borders are indicative and do not reflect a position of the Circle.